Sunday Prep: Swinging into a choppy Monday (Nov 10, 2025)

Market context: Heading into Monday, we’re balancing shutdown-risk headlines with a softer USD, eased Treasury yields, and a firmer volatility backdrop. Context signals we’re tracking:

• Dollar tone: DXY watchlist (MarketWatch DXY).
• Yields: 10Y as the compass (US10Y quote; Treasury curve data Treasury.gov).
• Volatility pulse: VIX firming into the weekend (CBOE VIX).
• Policy backdrop: Ongoing funding uncertainty keeps gap risk alive (CRS: Budget Process).

Rotation sketch: Tech remains under pressure while defensives, industrials, and energy look relatively resilient (crude steadiness helps—see Brent).

Planned entries (high-level theses):

• AAPL: Mean-reversion setup into support; looking for stabilization as yields cool.
• QQQ: Index swing with tighter leash given macro-vol sensitivity.
• BMY: Defensive healthcare tilt on relative strength and valuation support.
• NVDA: Tactical pullback buy—semi momentum with defined risk.

Current holdings and hedge posture: GE (industrial momentum), DRIP (energy skew), UVXY (vol hedge capped near ~3% notional).

Risk notes: Elevated gap risk from weekend policy headlines and China data/FX moves. Position sizes reflect headline risk; hedges stay on into the open.

Stops (raise-only policy from entry):

• AAPL: −4%
• QQQ: −6%
• BMY: −5%
• NVDA: −7%
• GE: stop $295
• DRIP: stop $8.50

Attribution & evidence: DXY, VIX, and Treasury data via sources linked above; sector tone inferred from broad price action and futures into the weekend.

Suggested tags: Market Prep, Swing Trading, Sector Rotation, Risk Management, Volatility

Disclaimer: This is for information and discussion only and is not investment advice.