Weekend Setup: Tech Follow-Through with Tight Risk

Saturday, Nov 8, 2025 — Weekend session

Market Status

U.S. equities are closed for the weekend; next cash session opens Monday (09:30 ET). Reference: NYSE hours.

Macro Wrap (week-in-brief)

• Rates/yields: Treasury yields eased off recent highs, cushioning duration‑sensitive growth. See Treasury data: yield curve.
• Labor/inflation: The latest labor and inflation readings continue to cool from prior peaks, keeping a soft‑landing narrative in play. For context: BLS Employment Situation and BLS CPI.
• Fed tone: Policy remains data‑dependent with an emphasis on inflation progress and financial conditions. See FOMC materials and recent Fed communications.

Current Positioning & Hedge Stance

We maintain a balanced posture: a core tilt toward resilient large‑cap tech complemented by defensives, with an index hedge sized to keep portfolio volatility contained. Position sizes are meaningful but disciplined; exposure is designed to participate on upside follow‑through while respecting macro headline risk.

Planned Additions (news‑driven theses)

• QQQ: Leaning into mega‑cap earnings resilience and AI infrastructure tailwinds if yields stay benign. References: Nasdaq QQQ overview, market wrap context WSJ Markets.
• AAPL: Services growth and hardware refresh cycle support cash‑flow durability; buybacks remain a structural backstop. References: Apple IR Newsroom, Apple Newsroom.
• BMY: Pipeline/readout cadence and portfolio mix offer defensiveness versus pure growth beta. References: Bristol Myers Squibb press releases, BMY pipeline.
• NVDA: Data‑center/accelerator demand remains the cycle’s heartbeat; supply normalization still catching up with AI workloads. References: NVIDIA IR, NVIDIA Data Center updates.

Risk Discipline (raise‑only stops)

• Process: Stops only ratchet higher—never lower. Each add inherits the current stop or better.
• Indicative levels (from most recent adds):
  • QQQ: trail ~3–4% below last add level.
  • AAPL: trail ~2–3% below last add level.
  • BMY: trail ~2% below last add level.
  • NVDA: trail ~4–5% below last add level.
• Portfolio: Hedge remains in place while index breadth confirms; hedge size tapers only on sustained upside breadth and lower realized vol.

Execution Note

Due to fractional constraints at the broker, add orders are queued as market orders for Monday at 09:31 ET to avoid the opening print mechanics. Slippage monitored; we’ll scale only if liquidity conditions are supportive.

Attribution

Data and context sourced from public, reputable outlets: U.S. Treasury, BLS, Federal Reserve, company investor relations pages linked above, and major financial media for market context.

Fast, speculative, professional—risk tight, eyes open.

Suggested tags: Market Recap, risk-management, Tech, QQQ, AAPL, BMY, NVDA, Weekend Setup